CHRONICLE: Analysts rate Rauner’s reelection chances as slim

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Nonpartisan prognosticators have adjusted their ratings for Governor Bruce Rauner’s November re-election campaign, after the governor barely emerged and was sorely bruised during a messy primary campaign.

Roll Call adjusted its view of the race from, “Tilts Democratic to Leans Democratic.” The paper noted, “It’s clear that Rauner has problems within the Republican base, a dynamic that no statewide GOP candidate can afford.”

Meanwhile, another rater, the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato, shifted his view of the race from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic.” Sabato wrote, “Gov. Bruce Rauner (R-IL) endured a difficult night on Tuesday. Although he won his party’s primary to earn a reelection shot in November, the contest in some ways confirmed his overall weakness as the most endangered incumbent Republican governor facing the voters in 2018.”

Rauner has repeatedly been rated the country’s most vulnerable governor. Rauner’s approval ratings have measured at record lows. A poll found Rauner is even much less liked than President Donald Trump statewide. Rauner’s favorable rating has sunk to an epic low with just 26% of Illinois voters saying they have a favorable view of the Governor. 63% have an unfavorable view. Meanwhile President Donald Trump has a favorability of 37% of voters statewide, while 58% rated him unfavorably.

The Cook Report and Politico both labeled Rauner as the most vulnerable incumbent seeking re-election in 2018. The Cook Report analysis noted that “Rauner has been under siege for much of his term,” due to his failure to pass a state budget.

Democratic businessmen J.B. Pritzker is running against Rauner for the election that will be held November 6, 2018.

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