CHRONICLE: Post-primary poll has Rauner down 22 points

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A new poll taken after Illinois’s bruising gubernatorial primary does not have good news for Governor Bruce Rauner, who is losing to Democratic nominee J.B. Pritzker by 22 points in the survey.

Perhaps even more ominously, Rauner’s unfavorable ratings are double his favorable. Polling like this one, by Odgen & Fry, have led analysts to rate Rauner the country’s most vulnerable governor.

A Politico analysis takes note of the strong challenge waged by Republican primary opponent, State Rep. Jeanne Ives, who Politico wrote, ran “incendiary television ads aimed at turning conservatives against the incumbent.” Rauner barely won the primary.

Last month, a poll found Rauner is even much less liked than President Donald Trump statewide. Rauner’s favorable rating has sunk to an epic low with just 26% of Illinois voters saying they have a favorable view of the Governor. 63% have an unfavorable view. Meanwhile President Donald Trump has a favorability of 37% of voters statewide, while 58% rated him unfavorably.

Among just Republican voters, the poll found that just 49% view Rauner favorably, while President Trump’s scores 73% favorable among those voters. “That’s just spectacularly lousy for a governor who isn’t under criminal investigation,” said Illinois political blogger Rich Miller, of the results.

In June, an overview of governors’ races by the respected non-partisan political prognosticator The Cook Report agreed with Politico’s view and labeled Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner as the most vulnerable incumbent seeking re-election in 2018. The analysis noted that “Rauner has been under siege for much of his term,” due to his failure to pass a state budget.

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